考虑设施中断的弹性氢气供应链设计Design of a resilient hydrogen supply chain considering facility disruptions
杨铭杨,刘琳琳,都健
摘要(Abstract):
在全球共同致力于降低碳排放,遏制气候变暖的行动下,氢气成为我国向低碳经济转型的关键能源载体。针对未来大宗氢气分配过程,建立了一个用于弹性氢气供应链设计的混合整数线性规划模型。该模型在保障正常和中断工况的氢气需求下,对氢气供应链中各个环节(生产、存储和终端)的技术选择、设施规模、建设位置和分配方式等进行了战略决策。将该模型应用于京津冀地区的氢气供应链设计,设置不同算例对比其经济性和弹性指标。结果显示,所设计的弹性氢气供应链日费用仅增加4.53%,就可以将最大供应天数从5.6 d提高至10 d,表明该方法可以在提高供应链的弹性水平的同时保证经济性。本模型也可通过调整模型内置的参数为氢气供应链的规划与设计提供满足风险偏好的决策支持。
关键词(KeyWords): 氢气;供应链;混合整数线性规划;弹性;中断
基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金面上项目(22378045)
作者(Author): 杨铭杨,刘琳琳,都健
参考文献(References):
- [1] RIERA J A, LIMA R M, KNIO O M. A review of hydrogen production and supply chain modeling and optimization[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2023, 48(37):13731-13755.
- [2] TANG D, TAN G L, LI G W,et al. State-of-the-art hydrogen generation techniques and storage methods:A critical review[J].Journal of Energy Storage, 2023, 64:107196.
- [3] MANOHARAN Y, HOSSEINI S E, BUTLER B,et al. Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles; Current Status and Future Prospect[J]. Applied Sciences, 2019, 9(11):2296.
- [4] DONG W J, SHAO C C, LI X L,et al. Integrated planning method of green hydrogen supply chain for hydrogen fuel cell vehicles[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2023, 48(48):18385-18397.
- [5] LI T X, LIU P, LI Z. Modelling and optimization of a multi-regional hydrogen supply system:A case study of China[J].Computer Aided Chemical Engineering, 2020, 48:109-114.
- [6]黄宣旭,练继建,沈威,等.中国规模化氢能供应链的经济性分析[J].南方能源建设,2020, 7(2):1-13.HUANG X X, LIAN J J, SHEN W,et al. Economic analysis of China’s large-scale hydrogen energy supply chain[J].Southern Energy Construction, 2020, 7(2):1-13.
- [7] LI Y F, TAGHIZADEH-HESARY F. The economic feasibility of green hydrogen and fuel cell electric vehicles for road transport in China[J].Energy Policy, 2022, 160:112703.
- [8]符冠云.氢能在我国能源转型中的地位和作用[J].中国煤炭,2019, 45(10):15-21.FU G Y. The status and role of hydrogen energy in China′s energy transformation[J].China Coal, 2019, 45(10):15-21.
- [9] LI Y F, SHI X P, PHOUMIN H. A strategic roadmap for large-scale green hydrogen demonstration and commercialisation in China:A review and survey analysis[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2022, 47(58):24592-24609.
- [10] MENG X Y, GU A L, WU X G,et al. Status quo of China hydrogen strategy in the field of transportation and international comparisons[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2021, 46(57):28887-28899.
- [11] DOMASHENKO A. Production, storage and transportation of liquid hydrogen. Experience of infrastructure development and operation[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2002, 27(7/8):753-755.
- [12] JOFFE D, HART D, BAUEN A. Modelling of hydrogen infrastructure for vehicle refuelling in London[J].Journal of Power Sources,2004, 131(1/2):13-22.
- [13] ALMANSOORI A, SHAH N. Design and operation of a future hydrogen supply chain:Snapshot model[J].Chemical Engineering Research and Design, 2006, 84(6):423-438.
- [14] ALMANSOORI A, SHAH N. Design and operation of a future hydrogen supply chain:Multi-period model[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2009, 34(19):7883-7897.
- [15] ALMANSOORI A, SHAH N. Design and operation of a stochastic hydrogen supply chain network under demand uncertainty[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2012, 37(5):3965-3977.
- [16] KIM J, LEE Y, MOON I. Optimization of a hydrogen supply chain under demand uncertainty[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2008, 33(18):4715-4729.
- [17] KIM J, MOON I. Strategic design of hydrogen infrastructure considering cost and safety using multiobjective optimization[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2008, 33(21):5887-5896.
- [18] KIM M, KIM J. Optimization model for the design and analysis of an integrated renewable hydrogen supply(IRHS)system:Application to Korea′s hydrogen economy[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2016, 41(38):16613-16626.
- [19]褚君晖.氢燃料汽车的氢能供应链网络规划研究[D].北京:华北电力大学(北京),2023.CHU J H. Research on network planning of hydrogen energy supply chain for hydrogen fuel vehicles[D]. Beijing:North China Electric Power University(Beijing), 2023.
- [20] BIQUE A O, MAIA L K K, LA MANTIA F,et al. Balancing costs, safety and CO2emissions in the design of hydrogen supply chains[J].Computers&Chemical Engineering, 2019, 129:106493.
- [21] GUILLéN-GOSáLBEZ G, MELE F D, GROSSMANN I E. A bi-criterion optimization approach for the design and planning of hydrogen supply chains for vehicle use[J].AIChE Journal, 2010, 56(3):650-667.
- [22] DE-LEóN ALMARAZ S, AZZARO-PANTEL C, MONTASTRUC L,et al.Assessment of mono and multi-objective optimization to design a hydrogen supply chain[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2013, 38(33):14121-14145.
- [23] REUSS M, GRUBE T, ROBINIUS M,et al. Seasonal storage and alternative carriers:A flexible hydrogen supply chain model[J].Applied Energy, 2017, 200:290-302.
- [24] ALMARAZ S D L, RáCZ V, AZZARO-PANTEL C,et al. Multiobjective and social cost-benefit optimisation for a sustainable hydrogen supply chain:Application to Hungary[J].Applied Energy, 2022, 325:119882.
- [25] SABIO N, KOSTIN A, GUILLéN-GOSáLBEZ G,et al. Holistic minimization of the life cycle environmental impact of hydrogen infrastructures using multi-objective optimization and principal component analysis[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2012,37(6):5385-5405.
- [26] OGUMEREM G S, KIM C, KESISOGLOU I,et al. A multi-objective optimization for the design and operation of a hydrogen network for transportation fuel[J].Chemical Engineering Research and Design, 2018, 131:279-292.
- [27] DE-LEóN ALMARAZ S, AZZARO-PANTEL C, MONTASTRUC L,et al. Deployment of a hydrogen supply chain by multi-objective/multi-period optimisation at regional and national scales[J].Chemical Engineering Research and Design, 2015, 104:11-31.
- [28] GROSSMANN I E, CALFA B A, GARCIA-HERREROS P. Evolution of concepts and models for quantifying resiliency and flexibility of chemical processes[J].Computers&Chemical Engineering, 2014, 70:22-34.
- [29] LI F, LIU D, SUN K,et al. Towards a future hydrogen supply Chain:A review of technologies and challenges[J].Sustainability,2024, 16(5):1890.
- [30] CARDOSO S R, PAULA BARBOSA-PóVOA A, RELVAS S,et al. Resilience metrics in the assessment of complex supply-chains performance operating under demand uncertainty[J].Omega, 2015, 56:53-73.
- [31] XU N R, LIU J B. Research on evaluation on agility of agile supply chain network based on complex network theory[J].Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2015, 2015:707459.
- [32] ZHANG Q, CHEN W M, LING W. Policy optimization of hydrogen energy industry considering government policy preference in China[J].Sustainable Production and Consumption, 2022, 33:890-902.
- [33] SEO S K, YUN D Y, LEE C J. Design and optimization of a hydrogen supply chain using a centralized storage model[J].Applied Energy, 2020, 262:114452.
- [34] YANG C, OGDEN J. Determining the lowest-cost hydrogen delivery mode[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2007,32(2):268-286.
- [35] NUNES P, OLIVEIRA F, HAMACHER S,et al. Design of a hydrogen supply chain with uncertainty[J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2015, 40(46):16408-16418.
- [36] MAH A X Y, HO W S, HASSIM M H,et al. Spatial optimization of photovoltaic-based hydrogen-electricity supply chain through an integrated geographical information system and mathematical modeling approach[J].Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy,2022, 24(1):393-412.
- [37] FORGHANI K, KIA R, NEJATBAKHSH Y. A multi-period sustainable hydrogen supply chain model considering pipeline routing and carbon emissions:The case study of Oman[J].Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2023, 173:113051.